0x2550aE9D2A94486cBDb5958453f72dF7D2bA862a-1790102050532
0x2550ae9d2a94486cbdb5958453f72df7d2ba862a
- Realised P&L
- $-76.13
- Volume
- $4.4k
- Markets traded
- 110
- Open portfolio
- $43.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded110
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.328 | 0.512 | $12.51 | +$4.51 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.915 | $12.20 | +$2.20 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.194 | 0.341 | $8.78 | +$3.78 |
| Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.575 | 0.625 | $6.52 | +$0.52 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.147 | 0.076 | $2.58 | −$2.41 |
| Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · Yes | 0.111 | 0.031 | $1.12 | −$2.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.45at 0.190Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?
- +$10.34at 0.539Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
- +$8.20at 0.526Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?
- +$6.65at 0.318Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5
- +$6.64at 0.177Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 23:02 | Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.5749999784 | $6.00 |
| 10-11 19:18 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 15:00 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.3277951254 | $8.00 |
| 10-10 18:06 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.1469999976 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 18:05 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.1939999991 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 22:13 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $1.14 |
| 10-05 12:01 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999584 | $4.00 |
| 10-05 11:21 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $18.76 |
| 10-05 11:21 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $28.52 |
| 10-05 11:08 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $18.50 |
| 10-05 11:06 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $23.00 |
| 10-05 11:04 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999996 | $21.00 |
| 10-05 10:50 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.43 | $12.97 |
| 10-05 10:32 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.45 | $25.56 |
| 10-05 10:27 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? | SELL | 0.977 | $15.26 |