nailongbaobao
0x2549f943f7c16ce4d2d282c93ce4156e303ec8b1
- Realised P&L
- $-29.26
- Volume
- $68.0k
- Markets traded
- 445
- Open portfolio
- $174.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded445
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$178.21at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 16?
- +$137.04at 0.405Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 1?
- +$125.39at 0.630Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 4?
- +$118.39at 0.580Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 7?
- +$111.52at 0.492Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 06:41 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.022 | $1.10 |
| 09-20 06:40 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.1254545307 | $7.71 |
| 09-20 06:37 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.0635224689 | $1.17 |
| 09-20 06:14 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.029 | $9.82 |
| 09-20 06:02 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.01 | $4.10 |
| 09-20 05:48 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.0154823574 | $4.87 |
| 09-20 05:45 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.1299314954 | $7.78 |
| 09-20 05:26 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.7785135566 | $24.41 |
| 09-20 05:07 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.65 | $14.48 |
| 09-20 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.59 | $15.10 |
| 09-20 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.58 | $5.80 |
| 09-20 04:59 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.74 | $27.89 |
| 09-20 04:52 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.359490368 | $35.27 |
| 09-20 04:51 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.05 | $2.82 |
| 09-20 04:36 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.06 | $4.78 |