nailongbaobao
0x2549f943f7c16ce4d2d282c93ce4156e303ec8b1
- Realised P&L
- $-412.64
- Volume
- $15.2k
- Markets traded
- 138
- Open portfolio
- $329.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded138
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$140.34at 0.393Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 1?
- +$125.67at 0.630Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 4?
- +$114.26at 0.480Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 31?
- +$80.74at 0.325Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 29?
- +$33.12at 0.378Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 12:21 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.39 | $5.67 |
| 08-04 04:07 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.99 | $221.71 |
| 08-04 04:06 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.91 | $37.37 |
| 08-03 14:28 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.95 | $49.80 |
| 08-03 14:28 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.92 | $41.40 |
| 08-02 13:32 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.31 | $14.91 |
| 08-02 13:32 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.32 | $19.20 |
| 08-01 20:41 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.83 | $49.80 |
| 08-01 20:40 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C or below on August 2? | BUY | 0.83 | $58.10 |
| 08-01 20:23 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.3634331437 | $130.36 |
| 08-01 16:56 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.34 | $6.80 |
| 08-01 16:54 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.43 | $11.08 |
| 08-01 16:28 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.6 | $42.00 |
| 08-01 15:49 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.4191133333 | $25.15 |
| 08-01 15:49 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.37342 | $22.41 |