Luck7.7.7
0x25467225154a9f11d7a6aaa7416de4fbddb45155
- Realised P&L
- $-4.1k
- Volume
- $900.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,982
- Open portfolio
- $5.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,982
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.166Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$797.84at 0.472Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?
- +$694.69at 0.236Elche CF vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5
- +$680.56at 0.341Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?
- +$537.81at 0.428Will PAOK win on 2026-07-23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 15:31 | Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.3595121951 | $73.70 |
| 09-20 15:31 | Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.31 | $12.40 |
| 09-20 15:18 | Will Gareth Southgate be the next head coach of the England national team? | SELL | 0.9286666667 | $111.44 |
| 09-20 11:36 | Will Gareth Southgate be the next head coach of the England national team? | BUY | 0.9136301681 | $20.11 |
| 09-20 11:31 | Will Gareth Southgate be the next head coach of the England national team? | BUY | 0.9 | $9.00 |
| 09-20 11:30 | Will Gareth Southgate be the next head coach of the England national team? | BUY | 0.8542585918 | $407.65 |
| 09-20 11:30 | Will Wayne Rooney be the next head coach of the England national team? | BUY | 0.8447127618 | $739.61 |
| 09-20 11:26 | Will Manchester City qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.8627906652 | $247.34 |
| 09-20 11:24 | Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by September 30? | SELL | 0.9750528923 | $249.97 |
| 09-20 11:23 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $697.50 |
| 09-20 10:13 | Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.795 | $79.50 |
| 09-20 10:11 | Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9554348894 | $194.43 |
| 09-20 05:28 | Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.965 | $607.95 |
| 09-20 05:14 | Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.95 | $384.75 |
| 09-20 05:11 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $154.60 |