Kinglichy
0x2543508213b8ab81cf2d99ccb923aa391c10b6f4
- Realised P&L
- $-170.85
- Volume
- $25.1k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $9.07
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? · Yes | 0.331 | 0.025 | $5.01 | −$61.20 |
| Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.003 | $4.06 | −$6.26 |
| Will Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.20at 0.720US forces enter Iran by December 31?
- +$9.50at 0.128Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
- +$6.82at 0.880US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
- +$4.59at 0.770US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$-0.74at 0.097Will Iran strike Iraq again in March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-14 17:45 | Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | SELL | 0.17 | $57.92 |
| 04-11 22:16 | Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.0056783417 | $3.50 |
| 04-11 22:16 | Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | SELL | 0.07 | $3.50 |
| 04-10 00:27 | Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.006765106 | $6.82 |
| 04-10 00:26 | Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | SELL | 0.31 | $6.82 |
| 04-10 00:26 | Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.3306724953 | $73.48 |
| 04-10 00:23 | Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.127968878 | $50.00 |
| 04-09 21:47 | Will Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections? | BUY | 0.24 | $30.00 |
| 04-08 01:14 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 04-08 00:14 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.003 | $10.00 |
| 04-07 23:12 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.013986014 | $30.00 |
| 04-07 23:09 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.012 | $10.00 |
| 04-07 22:48 | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.007 | $5.00 |
| 04-07 22:48 | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.007 | $5.00 |
| 04-07 22:43 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.014 | $10.00 |