PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

polimentor

0x25431371c8f411c1e9a9bc162e144a3f584bf49f

Realised P&L
$-794.14
Volume
$20.0k
Markets traded
148
Open portfolio
$99.83

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded148
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration71.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration78.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6600.525$78.25$20.12
Will 3jane launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5800.565$21.37$0.57
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? · Yes0.2100.205$0.20$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 23:13Will South African inflation be between 4.7% and 5.0% in 2026?SELL0.2084360136$9.20
09-17 23:05Will South African inflation be between 4.7% and 5.0% in 2026?SELL0.72$13.58
09-17 20:02Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?SELL0.15$7.57
09-17 15:28Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be less than 30k?SELL0.63$95.72
09-16 15:45Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?SELL0.37$3.18
09-15 04:15Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?SELL0.25$0.20
09-14 20:14Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.35$38.09
09-14 12:47Will Stanford have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?SELL0.63$4.57
09-14 12:33Will Stanford have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?SELL0.63$18.90
09-13 09:44Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026?SELL0.6899226037$34.77
09-12 20:39Will there be 5 or fewer UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?SELL0.002$0.20
09-12 20:39Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027?SELL0.38$28.76
09-12 20:38Iran full airspace closure by December 31?SELL0.2113674279$15.46
09-12 05:59Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?SELL0.16$6.53
09-11 14:55Will Claude go down 8-10 times in September?SELL0.35$14.00