polimentor
0x25431371c8f411c1e9a9bc162e144a3f584bf49f
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $33.0k
- Markets traded
- 319
- Open portfolio
- $21.61
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded319
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.145 | $21.61 | −$76.76 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.01at 0.795Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in July?
- +$11.01at 0.420Will Gen.G Win the Shortest Game in LCK 2026 Rounds 3-4?
- +$10.30at 0.780Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton engaged in 2026?
- +$8.78at 0.654Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?
- +$5.13at 0.310Will TreVeyon Henderson have 499.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 18:07 | Will Manchester City finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | SELL | 0.65 | $65.59 |
| 10-30 19:09 | Will Sparta Prague finish 9th-24th in UEL league phase? | SELL | 0.57 | $1.54 |
| 10-29 17:44 | Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $14.00 |
| 10-29 16:02 | Will Lens qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.57 | $14.38 |
| 10-29 02:47 | Will Rennes finish top 8 in UEL league phase? | SELL | 0.64 | $16.15 |
| 10-29 02:26 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts be between 2,650,000 and 2,800,000? | SELL | 0.73 | $18.53 |
| 10-29 01:55 | Will AC Milan finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season? | SELL | 0.47 | $2.60 |
| 10-28 05:59 | Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%? | SELL | 0.588 | $14.84 |
| 10-27 23:32 | Will Sunderland reach the 2027 UEFA Europa League quarterfinal? | SELL | 0.52 | $26.00 |
| 10-27 16:38 | Will Eintracht Frankfurt qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.05 | $2.52 |
| 10-26 21:52 | Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 6.00 ft or more by November 30? | SELL | 0.755 | $38.09 |
| 10-25 17:59 | Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31? | SELL | 0.42 | $20.60 |
| 10-25 02:37 | Will the Cincinnati Bengals make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | SELL | 0.33 | $12.49 |
| 10-25 02:14 | Will the Anaheim Ducks make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs? | SELL | 0.4261865751 | $16.13 |
| 10-24 12:52 | Will the Baltimore Ravens have more than 11.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season? | SELL | 0.36 | $7.31 |