PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Demoxe

0x253e7b16b5309697be83122f863bad8cd11a61d2

Realised P&L
$10.56
Volume
$7.2k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$114.78

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration88.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? · Yes0.2460.240$102.00−$2.50
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? · Yes0.1490.069$9.99−$11.75
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.5300.046$2.79−$29.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 14:05US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?SELL0.011$6.60
10-24 21:06US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?SELL0.002$0.20
10-19 18:11US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?SELL0.21$21.00
09-03 15:34Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?SELL0.998$74.83
07-07 07:55Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?SELL0.132$38.50
01-04 22:11Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?BUY0.14$26.94
01-01 21:36Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?BUY0.2199999936$20.00
12-31 23:57Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?SELL0.001$0.59
12-26 00:35Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.0189465707$5.00
12-26 00:35Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.1009999943$15.00
12-22 16:58Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.128$10.00
12-22 16:57Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.035297921$10.00
12-22 16:56Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.1269579293$20.00
12-20 22:56Solana Up or Down - December 20, 5PM ETBUY0.1099999032$1.00
12-20 22:55Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 5PM ETBUY0.02$1.00