PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x253Cf11827fD965789688F035f70Ab488d5F061b-1772105662991

0x253cf11827fd965789688f035f70ab488d5f061b

Realised P&L
$-112.06
Volume
$26.9k
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$2.15

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration66.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.7m barrels per day in 2026? · Yes0.0710.030$2.15$2.85
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on March 3? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00$10.00
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET · Up0.2110.000$0.00$3.00
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET · Down0.1510.000$0.00$3.00
Solana Up or Down - March 3, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET · Down0.0700.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET · Down0.5470.000$0.00$10.00
Will Cyprus win on 2026-03-26? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$3.68
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in March? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$5.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 6? · No0.0010.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET · Up0.0350.000$0.00$5.00
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31? · Yes0.1140.000$0.00$5.00
Will Wales win on 2026-03-26? · Yes0.0990.000$0.00$5.00
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00$0.08
Solana Up or Down - February 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET · Up0.0020.000$0.00$19.32
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5? · No0.0100.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-29 15:18Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETBUY0.8199999836$4.95
03-26 21:37Will Wales win on 2026-03-26?BUY0.0985396425$5.00
03-26 17:45Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-03-26?BUY0.2399999674$5.00
03-26 17:43Will Cyprus win on 2026-03-26?BUY0.16$3.68
03-07 20:23Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETBUY0.5099999796$4.84
03-07 20:22Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETBUY0.5699999555$4.85
03-07 20:20Ethereum Up or Down - March 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETSELL0.9909999977$7.88
03-07 20:15Ethereum Up or Down - March 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETBUY0.6199999628$4.86
03-07 20:11Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETBUY0.86$4.96
03-07 20:11Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETSELL0.9909999977$7.75
03-07 20:06Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETBUY0.6299999811$4.86
03-07 19:42Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?BUY0.0863723464$5.00
03-07 17:11Solana Up or Down - March 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETSELL0.9909999989$16.56
03-07 17:11Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETSELL0.9909999978$8.02
03-07 17:08Solana Up or Down - March 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETBUY0.5099999796$4.84