hedgehoooooog
0x253c0fb53f6a8802e3c58cf87f4b540ccfec96c0
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $12.3k
- Markets traded
- 338
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded338
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics vs. Magic · Celtics | 0.996 | 1.000 | $1.0k | +$3.64 |
| Will CA Lanús win on 2026-11-01? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.655 | $10.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will HJK Helsinki win on 2026-11-02? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.715 | $9.93 | −$0.07 |
| Fortaleza EC vs. AC Goianiense: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.760 | 0.750 | $9.87 | −$0.13 |
| CA Bucaramanga vs. Atlético Nacional: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.740 | 0.730 | $9.86 | −$0.14 |
| CA Grau vs. Club Universitario de Deportes: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.740 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$9.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$134.14at 0.870Thunder vs. Rockets
- +$60.35at 0.115Will FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?
- +$45.75at 0.146Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-10-10?
- +$39.60at 0.208Will Hamarkameratene win on 2026-10-11?
- +$39.60at 0.208Will Peterborough United FC win on 2026-10-10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:55 | Celtics vs. Magic | BUY | 0.996 | $1.0k |
| 11-01 22:39 | CA Bucaramanga vs. Atlético Nacional: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.7399999896 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 22:30 | Fortaleza EC vs. AC Goianiense: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 22:24 | Will HJK Helsinki win on 2026-11-02? | BUY | 0.7199999942 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 06:11 | Will CA Lanús win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 06:09 | CA Grau vs. Club Universitario de Deportes: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.7399999896 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 06:07 | Palermo FC vs. L.R. Vicenza: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.629999995 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 06:05 | PAOK Thessaloniki vs. Asteras Tripolis: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 06:04 | Panaitolikos Agrinio vs. OFI Crete: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 06:02 | IF Elfsborg vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 06:00 | Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 05:58 | SS Arezzo vs. Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.7199999942 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 05:57 | Malmo FF vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.599999988 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 05:55 | Will Celtic FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 05:52 | Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $10.00 |