PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x253B40C66e130abc667E4bE85f9e5844941398d8-1768336954920

0x253b40c66e130abc667e4be85f9e5844941398d8

Realised P&L
$241.64
Volume
$35.0k
Markets traded
158
Open portfolio
$114.59

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded158
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration82.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 20:53Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.138$38.24
10-29 21:57Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?BUY0.438$4.38
10-29 13:40Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?SELL0.975$29.25
10-28 19:33Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 26-November 1?BUY0.62$12.40
10-28 15:19Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.011$5.78
10-28 15:18Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.154$46.20
07-07 20:59Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.954$30.53
06-17 17:11Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?BUY0.91$100.00
06-16 20:49Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Senegal?BUY0.3799999742$5.00
06-16 20:35Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Senegal?BUY0.6199999864$10.00
05-24 12:42Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETBUY0.2699999681$5.00
05-24 12:36Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETBUY0.3499999615$5.00
05-24 12:25Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.063$8.82
05-19 10:52Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 19?BUY0.07$1.40
05-16 11:46Macron out by June 30, 2026?SELL0.987$98.70