0x253B40C66e130abc667E4bE85f9e5844941398d8-1768336954920
0x253b40c66e130abc667e4be85f9e5844941398d8
- Realised P&L
- $241.64
- Volume
- $35.0k
- Markets traded
- 158
- Open portfolio
- $114.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded158
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$62.97at 0.508Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
- +$46.82at 0.995Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?
- +$44.00at 0.560US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
- +$43.16at 0.813France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
- +$39.50at 0.951Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:53 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.138 | $38.24 |
| 10-29 21:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? | BUY | 0.438 | $4.38 |
| 10-29 13:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? | SELL | 0.975 | $29.25 |
| 10-28 19:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 26-November 1? | BUY | 0.62 | $12.40 |
| 10-28 15:19 | Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.011 | $5.78 |
| 10-28 15:18 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.154 | $46.20 |
| 07-07 20:59 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.954 | $30.53 |
| 06-17 17:11 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.91 | $100.00 |
| 06-16 20:49 | Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Senegal? | BUY | 0.3799999742 | $5.00 |
| 06-16 20:35 | Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Senegal? | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $10.00 |
| 05-24 12:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.2699999681 | $5.00 |
| 05-24 12:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | BUY | 0.3499999615 | $5.00 |
| 05-24 12:25 | Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.063 | $8.82 |
| 05-19 10:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 19? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 05-16 11:46 | Macron out by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.987 | $98.70 |