PolyBot

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Traders

ShinobiSkill

0x25285aabbb03c4b341373e4f63f103e6625c0978

Realised P&L
$760.45
Volume
$65.5k
Markets traded
246
Open portfolio
$217.98

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded246
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1930.055$60.69−$152.72
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0440.090$29.41+$14.92
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1320.105$27.75−$7.25
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0910.028$22.00−$50.89
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.4580.434$18.97−$1.03
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.1700.153$16.89−$1.81
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1600.155$10.85−$0.35
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0130.018$8.75+$2.25
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0040.001$8.72−$70.73
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.2200.105$5.25−$5.75
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0170.013$3.97−$1.03
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes0.2700.043$2.17−$11.32
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0180.009$1.90−$1.70
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0090.001$0.42−$7.02
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0060.002$0.23−$0.68

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 01:25Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.1$5.00
10-03 01:21Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.4579999924$20.00
09-20 10:43Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.001$10.00
09-20 10:41Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0169999999$5.00
09-20 02:34UFC 331: Patricio Pitbull vs. Dooho Choi (Featherweight, Main Card)BUY0.4799999846$5.00
09-20 02:33UFC 331: Patricio Pitbull vs. Dooho Choi (Featherweight, Main Card)BUY0.599999976$5.00
09-20 02:32UFC 331: Gable Steveson vs. Sean Sharaf (Heavyweight, Prelims)SELL0.999$142.71
09-19 22:59UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.2799999958$8.00
09-19 11:36UFC 331: Gable Steveson vs. Sean Sharaf (Heavyweight, Prelims)BUY0.0699999999$10.00
09-19 11:31Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.03$14.92
08-28 23:10Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.1399999962$30.00
07-19 20:56Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.3699999771$10.00
06-28 18:42Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.002$3.00
06-27 01:56Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.5399999903$10.00
06-27 01:54Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.0053342817$5.00