axiaopl
0x25283ba1d7a67cb1226bb38155f843514ef9a4f7
- Realised P&L
- $2.4k
- Volume
- $43.6k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $103.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration87.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.007Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$194.08at 0.002Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$58.70at 0.007Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$31.25at 0.760Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- +$20.70at 0.021Will Hyperliquid hit $34 in January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 01:46 | Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.043 | $7.48 |
| 06-12 01:46 | Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.033 | $1.58 |
| 06-02 11:50 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.012 | $19.20 |
| 06-02 11:49 | Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.0714009266 | $8.01 |
| 06-02 11:48 | Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.046657409 | $11.17 |
| 06-02 11:47 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.012 | $34.56 |
| 05-19 13:33 | Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $6.00 |
| 05-17 14:21 | Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be less than 1.25T? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.73 |
| 05-17 14:16 | Hurupay FDV above $20M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.007 | $0.26 |
| 05-17 01:46 | Theo FDV above $700M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.004 | $4.22 |
| 05-13 06:40 | Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.05 |
| 05-08 07:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | SELL | 0.6 | $5.99 |
| 05-08 07:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.46 | $4.60 |
| 05-06 08:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May? | BUY | 0.006 | $2.07 |
| 05-05 16:16 | Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.60 |