PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

axiaopl

0x25283ba1d7a67cb1226bb38155f843514ef9a4f7

Realised P&L
$2.4k
Volume
$43.6k
Markets traded
72
Open portfolio
$103.34

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded72
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration87.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration82.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Theo FDV above $700M one day after launch? · Yes0.0040.081$84.83+$80.61
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? · Yes0.0020.029$6.60+$6.13
Hurupay FDV above $20M one day after launch? · Yes0.0070.157$5.79+$5.53
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0060.005$5.00$1.00
Reya FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.0050.008$1.12+$0.44
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be less than 1.25T? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$1.20
Sentio FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$1.80
Will Solana reach $130 in April? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$1.10
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$40.04
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$2.07
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$3.00
Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in May? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$1.06
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$53.76
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$5.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-12 01:46Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?SELL0.043$7.48
06-12 01:46Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.033$1.58
06-02 11:50MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.012$19.20
06-02 11:49Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?SELL0.0714009266$8.01
06-02 11:48Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?SELL0.046657409$11.17
06-02 11:47MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.012$34.56
05-19 13:33Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.006$6.00
05-17 14:21Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be less than 1.25T?BUY0.006$0.73
05-17 14:16Hurupay FDV above $20M one day after launch?BUY0.007$0.26
05-17 01:46Theo FDV above $700M one day after launch?BUY0.004$4.22
05-13 06:40Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?BUY0.004$0.05
05-08 07:12Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETSELL0.6$5.99
05-08 07:10Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETBUY0.46$4.60
05-06 08:57Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?BUY0.006$2.07
05-05 16:16Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?BUY0.002$2.60