0x2526119E9ea8b8659e3c395D48B1D7b6b6cF388A-1783049842582
0x2526119e9ea8b8659e3c395d48b1d7b6b6cf388a
- Realised P&L
- $7.14
- Volume
- $486.61
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $6.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration78.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.120 | $6.25 | −$5.20 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026? · No | 0.089 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will Junior Caminero win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.81at 0.420Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
- +$3.53at 0.093Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 07:44 | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.16 | $8.99 |
| 10-01 07:39 | Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999981 | $11.45 |
| 07-21 21:35 | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.0889999842 | $5.00 |
| 07-13 19:56 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.0888888889 | $4.00 |
| 07-13 14:43 | Will Junior Caminero win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby? | BUY | 0.1799999755 | $5.00 |
| 07-13 14:42 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.46 | $13.67 |
| 07-07 01:59 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.554 | $52.63 |
| 07-03 03:42 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.4129999974 | $51.51 |