0x2525aae16aefbe3167b981bae70988f52d3fe529
- Realised P&L
- $-9.26
- Volume
- $12.2k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $2.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration50.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $1.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 17? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Bradley Barcola be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.95at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
- +$0.95at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
- +$0.95at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
- +$0.95at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
- +$0.92at 0.532Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 13:39 | Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 08:24 | Will Feyenoord win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.50 |
| 09-15 13:02 | Will Feyenoord win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 05:43 | Will Feyenoord win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.50 |
| 09-14 16:16 | Will Feyenoord win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 18:39 | Will Lille win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.50 |
| 08-27 05:25 | Will Lille win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 08-24 17:15 | Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.0029091736 | $0.32 |
| 08-23 12:05 | Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0090910744 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 08:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 17? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 05:37 | Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 17:53 | Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-23 14:34 | Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-20 09:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 07-20 09:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |