0x251E5c227Ab9212711F25697547de0B728Eb3d0B-1760253012692
0x251e5c227ab9212711f25697547de0b728eb3d0b
- Realised P&L
- $-39.64
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $41.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$72.70at 0.355Will Russia recapture territory in Vilne by November 30?
- +$62.83at 0.389Will Russia recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by November 30?
- +$31.71at 0.470Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?
- +$-0.28at 0.970US strikes Nigeria by November 30?
- +$-11.58at 0.594Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-02 13:33 | Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6019417318 | $10.00 |
| 12-02 13:33 | Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 30 years in prison? | BUY | 0.6899999393 | $10.00 |
| 12-02 13:33 | Will Kim Keon Hee be sentenced to prison by March 31? | BUY | 0.75 | $10.00 |
| 12-02 13:32 | Will Trump say "Maduro" during Cabinet Meeting on December 2? | BUY | 0.739999997 | $15.00 |
| 12-02 13:32 | Will BNB reach $950 in December? | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |
| 12-02 13:31 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999896 | $10.00 |
| 12-02 13:31 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999911 | $20.00 |
| 12-01 16:59 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31? | BUY | 0.5799999861 | $10.00 |
| 12-01 16:58 | Will Indonesia join the Abraham Accords in 2025? | BUY | 0.677089778 | $20.00 |
| 12-01 16:57 | Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.5655434027 | $10.00 |
| 12-01 16:57 | Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.4580152493 | $10.00 |
| 12-01 16:56 | U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? | BUY | 0.3499999895 | $20.00 |
| 12-01 16:55 | Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? | BUY | 0.7599999696 | $5.00 |
| 12-01 16:55 | Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31? | BUY | 0.5799999954 | $5.00 |
| 12-01 16:55 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by March 31? | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $5.00 |