PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x251E5c227Ab9212711F25697547de0B728Eb3d0B-1760253012692

0x251e5c227ab9212711f25697547de0b728eb3d0b

Realised P&L
$-39.64
Volume
$3.0k
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$41.05

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 30 years in prison? · Yes0.6901.000$14.49+$4.49
Will Kim Keon Hee be sentenced to prison by March 31? · Yes0.7501.000$13.33+$3.33
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? · No0.7600.945$6.22+$1.22
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? · Yes0.3500.070$4.00$16.00
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.5660.090$1.59$8.41
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.4580.065$1.42$8.58
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31? · No0.5800.000$0.00$5.00
Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31? · Yes0.6310.000$0.00$20.00
Foreign intervention in Gaza by March 31? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$5.00
Will Indonesia join the Abraham Accords in 2025? · Yes0.6770.000$0.00$20.00
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00$10.00
Will eToro Group (ETOR) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.7240.000$0.00$13.99
Will Trump say "Maduro" during Cabinet Meeting on December 2? · Yes0.7400.000$0.00$15.00
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? · No0.6020.000$0.00$10.00
Will BNB reach $950 in December? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
12-02 13:33Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?BUY0.6019417318$10.00
12-02 13:33Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 30 years in prison?BUY0.6899999393$10.00
12-02 13:33Will Kim Keon Hee be sentenced to prison by March 31?BUY0.75$10.00
12-02 13:32Will Trump say "Maduro" during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?BUY0.739999997$15.00
12-02 13:32Will BNB reach $950 in December?BUY0.5499999807$10.00
12-02 13:31MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?BUY0.7399999896$10.00
12-02 13:31MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?BUY0.7399999911$20.00
12-01 16:59Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?BUY0.5799999861$10.00
12-01 16:58Will Indonesia join the Abraham Accords in 2025?BUY0.677089778$20.00
12-01 16:57Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.5655434027$10.00
12-01 16:57Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.4580152493$10.00
12-01 16:56U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?BUY0.3499999895$20.00
12-01 16:55Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?BUY0.7599999696$5.00
12-01 16:55Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?BUY0.5799999954$5.00
12-01 16:55Foreign intervention in Gaza by March 31?BUY0.2299999692$5.00