Gardeniabelle
0x251e39a487dbf80cc6acc06bd6d358cd216171e4
- Realised P&L
- $-5.0k
- Volume
- $10.2k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $26.39
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-48.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026? · No | 0.870 | 0.830 | $9.54 | −$0.46 |
| Will Elon tweet 880-919 times in September 2026? · No | 0.810 | 0.845 | $8.55 | +$0.35 |
| Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026? · No | 0.850 | 0.825 | $8.30 | −$0.25 |
| Spread: Warriors (-8.5) · Mavericks | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.8k |
| Kings vs. Magic: O/U 228.5 · Under | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.40 |
| Raptors vs. Pelicans · Raptors | 0.529 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 235.5 · Over | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.2k |
| Bucks vs. Magic · Magic | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$209.85at 0.553Spread: Pacers (-3.5)
- +$0.82at 0.830Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by March 31?
- +$0.76at 0.952Will Cerebras' market cap be less than $50B at market close on IPO day?
- +$0.55at 0.879Knicks vs. Jazz
- +$0.16at 0.984Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 08:54 | Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999904 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 08:54 | Will Elon tweet 880-919 times in September 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999832 | $8.20 |
| 09-14 08:54 | Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $8.55 |
| 06-07 08:35 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.9829999994 | $10.00 |
| 05-13 08:20 | Will Cerebras' market cap be less than $50B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.95 | $15.00 |
| 04-09 20:20 | Spread: Pacers (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $9.70 |
| 04-09 20:13 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.97 | $6.32 |
| 03-26 19:04 | Kings vs. Magic: O/U 228.5 | BUY | 0.44 | $4.40 |
| 03-11 11:57 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.949999954 | $6.20 |
| 03-11 11:56 | Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by March 31? | BUY | 0.8299999834 | $4.00 |
| 03-11 09:32 | Knicks vs. Jazz | BUY | 0.8790002773 | $4.00 |
| 03-11 09:32 | Raptors vs. Pelicans | BUY | 0.5290000548 | $4.00 |
| 02-11 16:57 | Bucks vs. Magic | BUY | 0.8099999699 | $4.30 |
| 02-03 12:54 | Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Oklahoma City Thunder? | BUY | 0.9939999992 | $5.00 |
| 02-03 12:53 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.984 | $5.00 |