PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Gardeniabelle

0x251e39a487dbf80cc6acc06bd6d358cd216171e4

Realised P&L
$-5.0k
Volume
$10.2k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$26.39

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-48.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration98.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026? · No0.8700.830$9.54$0.46
Will Elon tweet 880-919 times in September 2026? · No0.8100.845$8.55+$0.35
Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026? · No0.8500.825$8.30$0.25
Spread: Warriors (-8.5) · Mavericks0.5000.000$0.00$2.8k
Kings vs. Magic: O/U 228.5 · Under0.4400.000$0.00$4.40
Raptors vs. Pelicans · Raptors0.5290.000$0.00$4.00
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 235.5 · Over0.4900.000$0.00$2.2k
Bucks vs. Magic · Magic0.8100.000$0.00$4.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 08:54Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026?BUY0.8699999904$10.00
09-14 08:54Will Elon tweet 880-919 times in September 2026?BUY0.8099999832$8.20
09-14 08:54Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026?BUY0.85$8.55
06-07 08:35Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?BUY0.9829999994$10.00
05-13 08:20Will Cerebras' market cap be less than $50B at market close on IPO day?BUY0.95$15.00
04-09 20:20Spread: Pacers (-3.5)BUY0.5$9.70
04-09 20:13MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?SELL0.97$6.32
03-26 19:04Kings vs. Magic: O/U 228.5BUY0.44$4.40
03-11 11:57MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?BUY0.949999954$6.20
03-11 11:56Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by March 31?BUY0.8299999834$4.00
03-11 09:32Knicks vs. JazzBUY0.8790002773$4.00
03-11 09:32Raptors vs. PelicansBUY0.5290000548$4.00
02-11 16:57Bucks vs. MagicBUY0.8099999699$4.30
02-03 12:54Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Oklahoma City Thunder?BUY0.9939999992$5.00
02-03 12:53Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?BUY0.984$5.00