phoenixapollo
0x251c11d6f56a9535d616d7701981c42873faf714
- Realised P&L
- $261.63
- Volume
- $31.4k
- Markets traded
- 71
- Open portfolio
- $394.69
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded71
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Abdul El-Sayed run 3 to 6 points behind Jocelyn Benson? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.655 | $394.69 | +$93.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$294.77at 0.590Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on October 27?
- +$0.77at 0.989Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$-0.01at 0.996Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's US Open?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 02:00 | Will Abdul El-Sayed run 3 to 6 points behind Jocelyn Benson? | SELL | 0.39 | $4.79 |
| 10-27 01:38 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on October 27? | SELL | 0.65 | $5.01 |
| 10-26 14:03 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on October 27? | SELL | 0.59 | $5.90 |
| 10-26 13:04 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on October 27? | BUY | 0.5901960758 | $439.47 |
| 08-25 03:52 | Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $44.39 |
| 08-25 03:43 | Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $42.36 |
| 08-25 03:37 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.986 | $10.43 |
| 08-25 03:28 | Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $36.40 |
| 08-25 03:22 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.986 | $11.14 |
| 08-25 03:16 | Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.04 |
| 08-25 03:06 | Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.00 |
| 08-25 02:58 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9869999997 | $21.60 |
| 08-25 02:51 | Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.40 |
| 08-22 15:21 | Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.991 | $67.94 |
| 08-22 15:12 | Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.992 | $68.02 |