PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

testingonly

0x2519b2ef826a9cde30e96d25325f8797370a9a98

Realised P&L
$-29.98
Volume
$28.3k
Markets traded
50
Open portfolio
$7.59

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded50
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample46 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)39.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? · Yes0.1110.055$7.59−$7.70
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$26.16
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$46.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.2660.000$0.00−$52.61
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Trail Blazers · Blazers0.1700.000$0.00−$42.33
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00−$1.46

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-13 01:29US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?BUY0.2418818206$18.17
05-13 01:29Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?BUY0.77$57.86
05-12 04:02US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?BUY0.28$14.00
05-12 04:02Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?BUY0.74$37.00
05-12 03:58US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?BUY0.28$20.44
05-12 03:58Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?BUY0.74$54.01
04-25 02:51Will Portland Trail Blazers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?BUY0.8179925701$202.54
04-25 02:51NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Trail Blazers BUY0.1657650284$40.21
04-23 04:25Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?BUY0.1107963768$15.29
02-24 10:18Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.962$41.37
02-24 10:17Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?BUY0.034$1.46
01-07 21:35MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?BUY0.9579066141$211.30
11-03 08:02Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?BUY0.942$92.98
08-27 11:32Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?BUY0.2$10.80
08-27 11:30Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?BUY0.2$35.20