bedjdjsfjah
0x2519afbb4c5cb0b10022fc291805577da6d3c38e
- Realised P&L
- $-88.19
- Volume
- $14.7k
- Markets traded
- 71
- Open portfolio
- $616.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded71
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 12 above $10? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.995 | $616.90 | −$2.46 |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.981 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.35at 0.902Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?
- +$7.30at 0.988Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?
- +$4.07at 0.990Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of May 18 2026?
- +$3.48at 0.988Trump out as President by June 30?
- +$3.27at 0.984Trump out as President by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 16:09 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 12 above $10? | BUY | 0.999 | $599.40 |
| 10-10 16:08 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 12 above $10? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 10-10 16:08 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 12 above $10? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 09-21 06:05 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.50 in September? | BUY | 0.996 | $149.40 |
| 09-21 05:59 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.00 in September? | BUY | 0.9858073314 | $66.00 |
| 09-14 08:59 | Will Solana reach $170 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-14 08:58 | Will XRP dip to $0.70 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.999 | $199.80 |
| 09-05 14:52 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $151.85 |
| 09-05 14:51 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $59.94 |
| 09-04 04:51 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $203.00 |
| 09-04 04:47 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026? | SELL | 0.9549580889 | $214.87 |
| 09-03 05:42 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.8977777778 | $202.00 |
| 09-03 05:19 | Trump out as President by September 30? | BUY | 0.983 | $196.60 |
| 09-02 11:44 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.988 | $236.13 |
| 08-24 08:08 | Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $210.37 |