greenmario
0x25190e4f1baaad3dd22fcce37c21297e8b0b7e78
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $54.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,041
- Open portfolio
- $44.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,041
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$187.32at 0.669Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
- +$125.17at 0.242Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
- +$111.53at 0.772Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
- +$106.61at 0.190Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
- +$103.60at 0.501Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 13:48 | CA Osasuna vs. Real Racing Club: CA Osasuna O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.8599999792 | $4.96 |
| 10-18 12:05 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.154999999 | $4.79 |
| 10-18 10:51 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $4.78 |
| 10-18 10:51 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $4.78 |
| 10-18 10:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 18? | BUY | 0.9489998342 | $4.98 |
| 10-18 09:58 | Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027? | BUY | 0.1109999985 | $4.82 |
| 10-17 21:40 | CA Mineiro vs. Coritiba FBC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.6699999619 | $4.92 |
| 10-17 19:24 | Spread: Rutgers (-6.5) | BUY | 0.3299999966 | $4.90 |
| 10-17 18:51 | Kansas vs. Kansas State: O/U 59.5 | BUY | 0.3899999873 | $4.91 |
| 10-17 18:01 | Will The Odyssey win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.26 | $4.19 |
| 10-17 17:32 | Will The Odyssey win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.3 | $4.83 |
| 10-17 17:08 | Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.8549999871 | $4.96 |
| 10-17 17:08 | Will "Disclosure Day" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0768950544 | $4.77 |
| 10-17 16:28 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-09 House election by 0%-3%? | BUY | 0.1419999979 | $4.83 |
| 10-17 16:03 | Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $4.77 |