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Traders

Kermit523

0x251873424b82377ca0f1e1eccbb381c95d6731ad

Realised P&L
$1.1k
Volume
$48.1k
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1020.045$507.32$637.49
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? · No0.9600.932$291.47$8.53
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? · No0.9090.885$97.39$2.61
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? · Yes0.2690.095$70.71$129.29
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1700.055$64.71$135.29
Russia coup attempt in 2026? · Yes0.0930.055$35.44$24.55
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · Yes0.4400.235$32.05$27.95
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1620.080$24.54$25.46
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.3010.115$19.09$30.91
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? · Yes0.1100.011$0.52$4.48
Will 200-224 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$200.00
Ukraine hits Moscow by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.1060.000$0.00$110.00
Will 175-199 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12? · Yes0.1140.000$0.00$200.00
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? · Yes0.6500.000$0.00$500.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? · Yes0.0530.000$0.00$70.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-13 11:33Will 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?BUY0.2710711206$100.00
07-13 11:30Will 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?BUY0.274518344$94.35
07-13 11:28Will 175-199 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?BUY0.2719038889$100.00
07-13 11:28Will 225 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?BUY0.1744230042$100.00
07-13 11:27Will 200-224 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?BUY0.1664520271$100.00
07-13 10:43Will 225 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?BUY0.046617426$50.00
07-13 10:42Will 200-224 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?BUY0.1363016585$100.00
07-13 10:41Will 175-199 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?BUY0.0717966364$100.00
07-13 10:40Will 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?BUY0.2386764094$100.00
07-13 10:38Will 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?BUY0.1974813388$100.00
07-02 05:00Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?BUY0.2320636551$100.00
07-02 04:59UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?BUY0.9549999981$100.00
06-28 06:36Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?BUY0.3190428714$100.00
06-28 06:31Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1399999989$100.00
06-24 17:31Russia coup attempt in 2026?BUY0.0899999919$10.00