PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x250a52fdd8722604cd3245f494fc70c9f045c9ad

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$65.2k
Markets traded
1,141
Open portfolio
$105.65

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,141
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat? · No0.6510.575$41.98$5.58
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? · No0.4800.250$16.25$14.95
Will Gornik Zabrze win on 2026-09-19? · No0.5400.545$11.45+$0.10
Will Vinted be #3 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? · No0.7500.885$7.96+$1.22
Will Turan Tovuz win on 2026-09-19? · No0.6200.605$7.87$0.20
Set Handicap: Nicod (-1.5) vs Mano (+1.5) · Mano0.4760.500$5.95+$0.29
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? · No0.6600.830$4.15+$0.85
Game 1: Any Player Rampage? · No0.6100.500$4.00$0.88
Will anyone say "Surprise" during Big Brother E36? · No0.5600.515$2.58$0.23
Will Lana Del Rey release a new album by December 31? · No0.4400.495$2.48+$0.28
Game 3: Any Player Rampage? · No0.5000.500$1.00+$0.00
Malaga CF vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Score · No0.4300.000$0.00$51.60
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 27? · No0.6400.000$0.00$4.48
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 24? · No0.6790.000$0.00$50.91
Will "Trump" be said 5+ times during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? · No0.4100.000$0.00$2.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 07:52Will Turan Tovuz win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.62$8.06
09-16 21:10Will Vinted be #3 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?BUY0.75$6.75
09-15 20:22Will Gornik Zabrze win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.54$11.34
09-12 01:24Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins: 1st inning tied?BUY0.45$3.15
09-04 16:33Will Baniyas Club win on 2026-09-05?BUY0.48$5.76
08-29 08:33Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?SELL0.9468731707$38.82
08-29 08:33Will MrBeast's next video get between 74 and 75 million views in week 1?SELL0.8683333333$5.21
08-29 08:33Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?SELL0.97025$38.81
08-29 08:33Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?SELL0.999$82.92
08-29 08:33Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?SELL0.996$74.70
08-29 08:33Will Real SC win on 2026-08-30?SELL0.98$39.20
08-29 08:33Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?SELL0.978$81.17
08-29 08:33Will Sam Burns win the 2026 TOUR Championship?SELL0.9633529412$163.77
08-29 08:33Will Russell Henley win the 2026 TOUR Championship?SELL0.987$40.47
08-29 08:33Will Chris Gotterup win the 2026 TOUR Championship?SELL0.8870120482$73.62