0x250a52fdd8722604cd3245f494fc70c9f045c9ad
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $65.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,141
- Open portfolio
- $105.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,141
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$144.68at 0.530Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?
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- +$68.71at 0.562Will Forge FC Hamilton win on 2026-08-07?
- +$67.86at 0.710Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?
- +$56.10at 0.532Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 07:52 | Will Turan Tovuz win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.62 | $8.06 |
| 09-16 21:10 | Will Vinted be #3 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | BUY | 0.75 | $6.75 |
| 09-15 20:22 | Will Gornik Zabrze win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.54 | $11.34 |
| 09-12 01:24 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins: 1st inning tied? | BUY | 0.45 | $3.15 |
| 09-04 16:33 | Will Baniyas Club win on 2026-09-05? | BUY | 0.48 | $5.76 |
| 08-29 08:33 | Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.9468731707 | $38.82 |
| 08-29 08:33 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 74 and 75 million views in week 1? | SELL | 0.8683333333 | $5.21 |
| 08-29 08:33 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.97025 | $38.81 |
| 08-29 08:33 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $82.92 |
| 08-29 08:33 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026? | SELL | 0.996 | $74.70 |
| 08-29 08:33 | Will Real SC win on 2026-08-30? | SELL | 0.98 | $39.20 |
| 08-29 08:33 | Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.978 | $81.17 |
| 08-29 08:33 | Will Sam Burns win the 2026 TOUR Championship? | SELL | 0.9633529412 | $163.77 |
| 08-29 08:33 | Will Russell Henley win the 2026 TOUR Championship? | SELL | 0.987 | $40.47 |
| 08-29 08:33 | Will Chris Gotterup win the 2026 TOUR Championship? | SELL | 0.8870120482 | $73.62 |