Zandgar
0x25071a846596e172039752031fafbea38182fbc9
- Realised P&L
- $31.48
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $109.61
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? · No | 0.925 | 0.984 | $108.24 | +$6.44 |
| Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes | 0.068 | 0.013 | $1.38 | −$6.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.39at 0.419Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
- +$5.27at 0.530Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?
- +$0.24at 0.150Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?
- +$-0.15at 0.850Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- +$-0.69at 0.474Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-29 22:12 | Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.07 | $2.80 |
| 04-29 22:07 | Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.924 | $27.72 |
| 04-29 22:06 | Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.918 | $8.91 |
| 04-29 22:06 | Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.07 | $3.50 |
| 04-29 22:04 | Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.80 |
| 04-29 22:04 | Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.84 | $8.40 |
| 04-29 22:04 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.02 | $20.00 |
| 04-20 22:31 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.02 | $20.00 |
| 04-17 08:54 | Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.50 |
| 04-17 08:54 | Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.85 | $8.50 |
| 04-16 22:31 | Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.94 | $9.40 |
| 04-16 22:26 | Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.939 | $9.39 |
| 04-16 22:26 | Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 04-15 21:16 | Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.53 | $26.50 |
| 04-15 21:15 | Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.53 | $13.25 |