0x24fa63dfd7c4aaa510a4bdc5841217626f4d33f3
0x24fa63dfd7c4aaa510a4bdc5841217626f4d33f3
- Realised P&L
- $26.21
- Volume
- $901.36
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $9.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.49at 0.127Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?
- +$27.92at 0.180Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?
- +$6.98at 0.596Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?
- +$4.92at 0.487Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?
- +$4.45at 0.661Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 04:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 03:59 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | BUY | 0.3918245034 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 03:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | SELL | 0.67 | $39.41 |
| 09-10 15:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $10.00 |
| 09-03 16:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? | SELL | 0.82 | $12.50 |
| 09-02 17:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? | BUY | 0.4699999698 | $7.17 |
| 08-30 17:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August? | BUY | 0.0819999928 | $10.00 |
| 08-30 17:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $10.00 |
| 08-30 17:31 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5099999786 | $10.00 |
| 08-30 03:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 30? | BUY | 0.3099999622 | $5.00 |
| 08-28 02:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 29? | BUY | 0.209999974 | $5.00 |
| 08-27 17:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August? | SELL | 0.586 | $12.96 |
| 08-27 17:35 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.67 | $4.98 |
| 08-25 17:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August? | BUY | 0.4519999917 | $10.00 |
| 08-24 16:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |