PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

orientalwooden38

0x24ed23a5a3f3927682dc05aa0ad70142ab39e460

Realised P&L
$-3.63
Volume
$273.61
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$8.08

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration48.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 14:38Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.0819999998$2.32
09-15 14:33Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 18?BUY0.02$2.13
09-15 14:27Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.0349999994$1.41
09-15 14:22Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 18?BUY0.9889999962$1.05
09-08 03:15Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.9549999851$2.57
09-08 03:14Will Alex Michelsen win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.9879997096$2.15
09-08 03:13Will Qinwen Zheng win the 2026 Women’s US Open?BUY0.97$1.31
09-03 04:33Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 6?BUY0.0289999887$2.45
09-03 04:32Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?BUY0.9659999941$2.95
09-03 04:30Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 4?BUY0.9859999409$2.57
08-29 02:28Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 August 24-30?BUY0.992$1.10