0x24E47E48efBbEDCD652C2b9A95752B2146F49282-1778663949928
0x24e47e48efbbedcd652c2b9a95752b2146f49282
- Realised P&L
- $-93.51
- Volume
- $5.8k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $74.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.015 | $32.25 | −$83.39 |
| Hawks vs. Mavericks: O/U 234.5 · Under | 0.230 | 0.320 | $13.91 | +$3.91 |
| Spread: 76ers (-5.5) · 76ers | 0.276 | 0.160 | $11.59 | −$8.41 |
| Will France win the UEFA EURO 2028? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.185 | $9.25 | −$0.75 |
| Hawks vs. Mavericks · Mavericks | 0.200 | 0.115 | $5.75 | −$4.25 |
| Spread: 76ers (-9.5) · 76ers | 0.340 | 0.024 | $2.12 | −$27.88 |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) · Portugal | 0.332 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Cavaliers vs. Magic · Cavaliers | 0.322 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Spread: Manchester City FC (-3.5) · Manchester City FC | 0.329 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Spread: United States (-1.5) · Mexico | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.40 |
| Spread: Liverpool FC (-4.5) · Liverpool FC | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-10-05? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Spread: England (-3.5) · Croatia | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$59.68at 0.258Will Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?
- +$50.81at 0.394Pistons vs. Timberwolves
- +$34.05at 0.156Spread: France (-1.5)
- +$31.24at 0.249Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)
- +$25.32at 0.290Warriors vs. Lakers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 01:27 | Spread: Magic (-7.5) | SELL | 0.999 | $32.22 |
| 10-17 01:24 | Spread: 76ers (-5.5) | BUY | 0.2761904728 | $20.00 |
| 10-17 01:05 | Spread: 76ers (-9.5) | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $20.00 |
| 10-17 00:54 | Hawks vs. Mavericks | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 10-17 00:28 | Hawks vs. Mavericks: O/U 234.5 | BUY | 0.2299999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-16 23:41 | Spread: Magic (-7.5) | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $10.00 |
| 10-16 23:40 | Spread: 76ers (-9.5) | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $10.00 |
| 10-16 02:30 | Spread: Rockets (-9.5) | BUY | 0.1299999982 | $5.00 |
| 10-16 00:57 | Thunder vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.3092269296 | $20.00 |
| 10-16 00:56 | Thunder vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.3 | $2.73 |
| 10-16 00:28 | Raptors vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.299999994 | $10.00 |
| 10-15 20:53 | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-15? | SELL | 0.999 | $27.74 |
| 10-15 20:52 | Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-10-15? | SELL | 0.999 | $26.28 |
| 10-15 20:30 | Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-10-15? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 20:22 | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-15? | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $10.00 |