eggbro
0x24e3b2294e37c0d78cb39e04ced12321b0b0b980
- Realised P&L
- $-48.47
- Volume
- $18.4k
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $202.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of August 10 above $10? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.900 | $95.40 | −$10.49 |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 10 above $6.50? · No | 0.999 | 0.506 | $60.72 | −$59.16 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of August 10 above $20? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.900 | $45.90 | −$5.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.18at 0.850Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
- +$16.34at 0.982Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
- +$14.64at 0.650Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?
- +$14.00at 0.800Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
- +$13.50at 0.984Will Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 04:08 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of August 10 above $20? | BUY | 0.999 | $50.95 |
| 08-08 04:07 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of August 10 above $10? | BUY | 0.999 | $105.89 |
| 08-08 04:06 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 10 above $6.50? | BUY | 0.999 | $119.88 |
| 08-04 10:00 | Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.50 on August 6? | BUY | 0.9989999927 | $121.00 |
| 08-04 09:59 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on August 6? | BUY | 0.9982969728 | $142.00 |
| 07-30 07:19 | Will Ethena reach $0.24 in July? | BUY | 0.998 | $35.93 |
| 07-30 07:18 | Will Chainlink dip to $2 in July? | BUY | 0.998 | $124.75 |
| 07-30 07:17 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.10 in July? | BUY | 0.997 | $99.70 |
| 07-26 09:10 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.996 | $126.49 |
| 07-18 09:48 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of July 20 above $2.50? | BUY | 0.99 | $54.45 |
| 07-18 09:47 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of July 20 above $7.00? | BUY | 0.999 | $119.88 |
| 07-18 09:47 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of July 20 above $7.50? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 07-14 05:13 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $30-$40 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17? | BUY | 0.998 | $79.84 |
| 07-14 05:07 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$30 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.69 |
| 07-14 05:05 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 Week of July 13 2026? | BUY | 0.983 | $49.15 |