eggbro
0x24e3b2294e37c0d78cb39e04ced12321b0b0b980
- Realised P&L
- $27.02
- Volume
- $20.7k
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $277.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of October 12 above $0.50? · Yes | 0.999 | 1.000 | $122.94 | +$0.06 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31? · No | 0.993 | 0.996 | $91.59 | +$0.23 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 12 above $10? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.995 | $62.69 | −$0.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.28at 0.856Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
- +$16.34at 0.982Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
- +$13.50at 0.984Will Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?
- +$13.44at 0.808Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
- +$12.97at 0.661Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 05:58 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of October 12 above $0.50? | BUY | 0.999 | $122.88 |
| 10-11 05:45 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 12 above $10? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 16:13 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 12 above $10? | BUY | 0.999 | $57.94 |
| 09-14 08:43 | Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $98.89 |
| 09-14 08:43 | Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $155.84 |
| 09-10 06:05 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.50 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.9988650181 | $37.00 |
| 09-10 06:03 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $57.82 |
| 09-07 07:07 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $9.00-$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $178.82 |
| 09-05 00:13 | Will NYC Mayor post 140-159 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.9984288024 | $105.00 |
| 09-05 00:11 | Will Solana reach $160 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $165.83 |
| 09-01 07:24 | Will Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $69.00 |
| 09-01 07:09 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of August 31 above $130? | BUY | 0.998 | $30.83 |
| 09-01 07:09 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $9.00-$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 31 – Sep 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $180.82 |
| 09-01 07:07 | Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $125.87 |
| 08-24 08:12 | Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $125.50 |