LostCall
0x24e17bf6cdbe62371abee0faf247e0efa43b79cf
- Realised P&L
- $-531.36
- Volume
- $13.9k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $3.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.665 | $3.10 | −$0.40 |
| StarCraft II: MaxPax vs Rogue (BO3) - RSL Revival Group B · MaxPax | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$214.50 |
| Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks? · No | 0.920 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$458.57 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$286.86at 0.723Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)
- +$266.01at 0.727Spread: RCD Mallorca (-2.5)
- +$248.76at 0.731Spread: West Ham United FC (-2.5)
- +$30.55at 0.943Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)
- +$14.59at 0.971Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-2.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 04:13 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.50 |
| 07-26 09:07 | Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.946 | $501.38 |
| 07-26 07:59 | Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.945 | $500.85 |
| 06-29 10:50 | Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $215.65 |
| 06-02 06:57 | Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks? | BUY | 0.92 | $458.57 |
| 06-02 06:23 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $458.49 |
| 06-02 04:48 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $458.49 |
| 05-14 04:47 | Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5) | BUY | 0.978 | $536.92 |
| 05-12 08:50 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.914 | $9.14 |
| 05-12 08:43 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.915 | $9.15 |
| 04-22 05:08 | Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5) | BUY | 0.94 | $486.10 |
| 04-22 02:53 | Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30? | BUY | 0.95 | $488.30 |
| 04-21 08:51 | Spread: RCD Mallorca (-2.5) | BUY | 0.95 | $463.16 |
| 04-21 06:16 | Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.963 | $463.20 |
| 04-20 05:20 | Spread: West Ham United FC (-2.5) | BUY | 0.959 | $443.88 |