PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

LostCall

0x24e17bf6cdbe62371abee0faf247e0efa43b79cf

Realised P&L
$-531.36
Volume
$13.9k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$3.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26? · Yes0.7500.665$3.10$0.40
StarCraft II: MaxPax vs Rogue (BO3) - RSL Revival Group B · MaxPax0.7800.000$0.00$214.50
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks? · No0.9200.000$0.00$458.57

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 04:13Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?BUY0.75$3.50
07-26 09:07Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026?SELL0.946$501.38
07-26 07:59Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026?BUY0.945$500.85
06-29 10:50Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?BUY0.95$215.65
06-02 06:57Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?BUY0.92$458.57
06-02 06:23Will Russia capture Bilytske by June 30, 2026?SELL0.93$458.49
06-02 04:48Will Russia capture Bilytske by June 30, 2026?BUY0.93$458.49
05-14 04:47Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)BUY0.978$536.92
05-12 08:50Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL0.914$9.14
05-12 08:43Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.915$9.15
04-22 05:08Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)BUY0.94$486.10
04-22 02:53Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?BUY0.95$488.30
04-21 08:51Spread: RCD Mallorca (-2.5)BUY0.95$463.16
04-21 06:16Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?BUY0.963$463.20
04-20 05:20Spread: West Ham United FC (-2.5)BUY0.959$443.88