0x24dc440363a3b8600b15aeff08e809dab720f5b7
0x24dc440363a3b8600b15aeff08e809dab720f5b7
- Realised P&L
- $30.79
- Volume
- $51.24
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $62.12
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar60.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ningbo Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Anhelina Kalinina · Jasmine Paolini | 0.500 | 0.725 | $31.99 | +$9.93 |
| Almaty Open: Terence Atmane vs Rinky Hijikata · Terence Atmane | 0.500 | 0.985 | $30.14 | +$14.83 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.03at 0.500Spread: 49ers (-7.5)
- +$8.68at 0.500Balshaw vs. Brunold: Match O/U 22.5
- +$7.22at 0.500Olbia: Michael Mmoh vs Luca Nardi
- +$-9.14at 0.500W50 Quebec City: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Sara Saito
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 19:37 | W50 Quebec City: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Sara Saito | SELL | 0.15 | $3.85 |
| 10-16 16:47 | Olbia: Michael Mmoh vs Luca Nardi | SELL | 0.95 | $15.31 |
| 10-16 14:04 | Balshaw vs. Brunold: Match O/U 22.5 | SELL | 0.54 | $5.12 |