AldmeriMagnus
0x24d9a7be38bda38e8750dba7e9387c51b1fbe3e6
- Realised P&L
- $-4.6k
- Volume
- $163.3k
- Markets traded
- 296
- Open portfolio
- $84.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded296
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$562.39at 0.686Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$372.11at 0.795Thunder vs. Spurs
- +$318.96at 0.805Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$304.77at 0.418Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
- +$287.63at 0.058Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 05:50 | Will John Ternus attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.45 | $9.00 |
| 09-22 05:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | BUY | 0.65 | $9.63 |
| 06-04 02:59 | Knicks vs. Spurs | SELL | 0.3366666667 | $202.00 |
| 06-04 02:49 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.32 | $160.00 |
| 06-04 02:24 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.74 | $296.00 |
| 06-04 01:51 | Spread: Spurs (-5.5) | BUY | 0.63 | $63.00 |
| 06-01 05:16 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.136 | $20.40 |
| 06-01 03:17 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.315 | $37.17 |
| 06-01 03:17 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.191 | $2.06 |
| 06-01 03:14 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $40.50 |
| 05-31 13:32 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.637 | $637.00 |
| 05-29 02:37 | Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.41 | $82.00 |
| 05-29 02:37 | Spread: Spurs (-11.5) | BUY | 0.94 | $893.00 |
| 05-29 02:24 | Thunder vs. Spurs | SELL | 0.01 | $20.00 |
| 05-29 02:18 | Thunder vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.03 | $60.00 |