roberthayes
0x24d96f12a10d9e881d93fc52b1bafef113d53131
- Realised P&L
- $57.63
- Volume
- $11.7k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $60.91
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 15% to 17.5%? · No | 0.800 | 0.735 | $22.33 | −$1.97 |
| Broncos vs. Cardinals: O/U 48.5 · Under | 0.700 | 0.495 | $19.80 | −$8.20 |
| Georgia State vs. James Madison: O/U 57.5 · Over | 0.520 | 0.525 | $18.78 | +$0.18 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.03at 0.400Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?
- +$14.67at 0.500Will Real Madrid win La Liga?
- +$9.02at 0.700Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?
- +$3.15at 0.460Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?
- +$0.31at 0.993Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 20:40 | Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 15% to 17.5%? | BUY | 0.8 | $24.30 |
| 01-31 14:14 | Will XRP dip to $1.40 in January? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.09 |
| 01-31 13:59 | Will XRP dip to $1.40 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.72 |
| 01-30 15:54 | Will BNB dip to $700 in January? | BUY | 0.9969999886 | $22.46 |
| 01-30 14:27 | Will XRP dip to $1.20 in January? | BUY | 0.9979999795 | $32.27 |
| 01-30 12:08 | Will Chainlink hit $15 in January? | BUY | 0.997 | $46.01 |
| 12-30 08:45 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025? | BUY | 0.99899996 | $15.37 |
| 12-29 21:22 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9969999361 | $12.21 |
| 12-29 20:57 | Will Trump pardon Do Kwon in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.00 |
| 12-29 20:36 | Will Z.ai have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $55.92 |
| 12-29 19:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $43.94 |
| 10-31 16:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October? | BUY | 0.9989999483 | $11.40 |
| 10-31 15:21 | Will Solana dip to $150 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.33 |
| 10-30 19:11 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.39 |
| 09-29 18:04 | Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.9939999997 | $13.12 |