0x24d54c36179F6b50ddC7Fff4CCd42CBCd9d5DCAC-1778768098822
0x24d54c36179f6b50ddc7fff4ccd42cbcd9d5dcac
- Realised P&L
- $-54.42
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $4.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.35at 0.354Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
- +$4.83at 0.390Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
- +$2.73at 0.527Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs
- +$2.69at 0.460MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$2.23at 0.442Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 05:02 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $10.00 |
| 06-30 15:20 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $3.00 |
| 06-30 11:12 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.02 | $3.00 |
| 06-30 11:08 | Will Cape Verde reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0189999939 | $3.00 |
| 06-30 11:06 | Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 05-25 04:46 | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | SELL | 0.977 | $4.24 |
| 05-21 03:22 | Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B | BUY | 0.4499999625 | $3.00 |
| 05-21 03:21 | Cavaliers vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.32 | $2.00 |
| 05-19 10:51 | Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05? | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |
| 05-19 10:48 | Will Michael Mebruer be the Republican nominee for LA-05? | BUY | 0.0116125474 | $1.00 |
| 05-19 10:48 | Will Austin Magee be the Republican nominee for LA-05? | BUY | 0.0199004975 | $1.00 |
| 05-19 10:48 | Will Rick Edmonds be the Republican nominee for LA-05? | BUY | 0.0170212766 | $1.00 |
| 05-19 10:48 | Will Samuel Wyatt be the Republican nominee for LA-05? | BUY | 0.0247270276 | $1.00 |
| 05-19 10:47 | Will Misti Cordell be the Republican nominee for LA-05? | BUY | 0.0649999408 | $1.00 |
| 05-19 10:47 | Will Michael Echols be the Republican nominee for LA-05? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |