Nogrit
0x24cf8561c3517b382e424fffc188ea80c8297e5c
- Realised P&L
- $-24.66
- Volume
- $26.7k
- Markets traded
- 347
- Open portfolio
- $38.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded347
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.42at 0.410Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 24?
- +$34.75at 0.583Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 15?
- +$32.72at 0.370Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 19?
- +$20.33at 0.320Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 27?
- +$19.31at 0.300Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 08:28 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.6899999952 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 08:27 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.6599999954 | $20.00 |
| 09-14 13:51 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.6599999954 | $20.00 |
| 09-08 13:48 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.5199999927 | $20.00 |
| 09-06 11:20 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.5 | $20.00 |
| 09-04 09:04 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 6? | BUY | 0.5199999938 | $20.00 |
| 09-01 09:40 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 3? | BUY | 0.5 | $20.00 |
| 08-30 07:54 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 31? | BUY | 0.3799999951 | $20.00 |
| 08-21 08:22 | Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.67 |
| 08-21 08:22 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.011 | $5.78 |
| 08-17 08:10 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 19? | BUY | 0.5586034856 | $20.00 |
| 08-14 08:26 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 16? | BUY | 0.5994005994 | $20.00 |
| 08-11 08:14 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 13? | BUY | 0.51 | $19.99 |
| 08-11 04:57 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 11? | SELL | 0.988 | $19.07 |
| 08-09 10:51 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 11? | BUY | 0.52 | $10.04 |