0x24b79009fd3A752eB32C78B10C4c3b9b4D6b30B8-1786630993206
0x24b79009fd3a752eb32c78b10c4c3b9b4d6b30b8
- Realised P&L
- $3.44
- Volume
- $246.95
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $2.55
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.015 | $2.55 | −$0.45 |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,200? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.84at 0.177Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?
- +$0.10at 0.952No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?
- +$0.07at 0.965US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.999US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
- +$-0.21at 0.361Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 05:43 | Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? | BUY | 0.0151314545 | $2.00 |
| 09-10 04:21 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $0.85 |
| 09-08 21:36 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 21:55 | Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? | BUY | 0.026470563 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 07:48 | Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,200? | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 07:39 | Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $1,800? | SELL | 0.025 | $0.71 |
| 09-06 07:30 | Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $1,800? | BUY | 0.0349999669 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 05:03 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 08:10 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.9649999952 | $2.00 |
| 09-01 01:55 | No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 09-01 01:50 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.00 |