asxger
0x24b6dc2f2864b60866768a2e53cca2fb0d7240f5
- Realised P&L
- $26.33
- Volume
- $4.9k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $491.31
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31? · No | 0.978 | 0.964 | $361.31 | −$5.44 |
| Will Jordan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.065 | $130.00 | +$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.30at 0.867Will Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
- +$0.63at 0.974Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30?
- +$-1.60at 0.940Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 11:30 | Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31? | BUY | 0.978 | $366.75 |
| 06-30 01:05 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.938 | $281.40 |
| 05-14 12:34 | Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30? | BUY | 0.974 | $611.67 |
| 04-21 12:10 | Will Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | BUY | 0.867 | $303.45 |