PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Zbongo

0x24ad7261de88eeda047fabe677a94f15cac1c0da

Realised P&L
$-135.36
Volume
$24.7k
Markets traded
59
Open portfolio
$11.27

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded59
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2510.203$8.11−$1.89
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? · Yes0.2800.081$3.16−$7.84
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Angelo Scola be the next pope? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$10.00
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by January 17, 2026? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00−$3.00
Will the US capture Khamenei before 2027? · Yes0.1050.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Francis Arinze be the next pope? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00−$2.00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? · Yes0.0860.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of February? · Yes0.1330.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET · Up0.0500.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by July 31? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00−$9.00
Zhang Youxia seen in public by February 28? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-16 04:18Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETBUY0.0699999874$5.00
06-16 04:16Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETBUY0.3203883184$5.00
06-16 04:13Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ETBUY0.1699999759$5.00
05-26 16:54Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0349999967$10.00
05-26 16:54Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0349999988$30.00
05-26 16:53Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1069999831$5.00
03-16 07:04Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?BUY0.1399999948$20.00
03-16 07:03Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.250999984$10.00
03-16 07:02Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?BUY0.8839999947$10.00
03-13 12:27Will Vance say "Iran" during his Rocky Mount visit?BUY0.8399999975$40.00
03-13 12:26Will Khamenei tweet every day through March 27?BUY0.5199999813$10.00
03-01 16:35Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL0.517$6.82
03-01 16:35Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL0.5160432146$6.81
03-01 10:34Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.3789999804$10.00
01-29 16:22Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of February?BUY0.1333333333$10.00