Bradlo
0x24a530dafaff074d9881ae385faf07ff44af226e
- Realised P&L
- $-58.34
- Volume
- $33.6k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $3.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECB rate cut in 2026? · Yes | 0.246 | 0.025 | $3.35 | −$28.91 |
| EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.70 |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.75 |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.31at 0.164Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?
- +$5.67at 0.230Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
- +$5.33at 0.862No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
- +$3.76at 0.347Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
- +$3.42at 0.603Ethereum Up or Down - January 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 09:02 | Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? | SELL | 0.031 | $1.79 |
| 05-16 09:01 | Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.50 |
| 05-16 09:01 | Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | SELL | 0.035 | $1.01 |
| 05-16 09:00 | Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | SELL | 0.035 | $1.53 |
| 05-15 18:53 | Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.0130000002 | $1.79 |
| 05-15 18:52 | Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.015 | $1.50 |
| 05-15 18:52 | Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.0110000001 | $1.50 |
| 03-20 12:33 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C or higher on March 20? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.17 |
| 03-20 12:33 | ECB rate cut in 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $1.17 |
| 03-17 12:31 | ECB rate cut in 2026? | BUY | 0.2402485597 | $14.60 |
| 03-16 18:02 | ECB rate cut in 2026? | SELL | 0.208426516 | $31.72 |
| 03-16 12:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $0.97 |
| 03-16 12:37 | ECB rate cut in 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $7.25 |
| 03-09 20:53 | ECB rate cut in 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $2.89 |
| 03-09 14:21 | ECB rate cut in 2026? | BUY | 0.2446808511 | $6.44 |