Feby
0x249d78f68853cdebb56a65d021746b725bed5df1
- Realised P&L
- $2.9k
- Volume
- $860.3k
- Markets traded
- 172
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded172
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 14-20? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.625 | $1.3k | +$190.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 16? · No | 0.320 | 0.510 | $456.56 | +$170.09 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France | 0.597 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$846.26 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.07 |
| Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Morocco? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$45.50 |
| Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Belgium? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$80.60 |
| Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance · Brazil | 0.704 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$457.50 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 4? · No | 0.073 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$285.73 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.9kat 0.060Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 29?
- +$2.4kat 0.310Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 27?
- +$2.4kat 0.589Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 19?
- +$1.6kat 0.662Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 17?
- +$1.2kat 0.460Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 12:14 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5975 | $198.02 |
| 07-14 11:23 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5975 | $648.24 |
| 07-13 00:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 13? | BUY | 0.46 | $36.80 |
| 07-12 10:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 12? | SELL | 0.61 | $12.20 |
| 07-11 14:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 11? | SELL | 0.06 | $60.00 |
| 07-10 18:40 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Belgium? | BUY | 0.12 | $80.60 |
| 07-10 18:24 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.595 | $476.00 |
| 07-09 18:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 10? | SELL | 0.27 | $106.35 |
| 07-08 14:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 9? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.58 |
| 07-08 14:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 10? | SELL | 0.008 | $1.93 |
| 07-08 14:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 10? | SELL | 0.01 | $1.15 |
| 07-08 14:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 10? | SELL | 0.012 | $1.20 |
| 07-08 14:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 10? | SELL | 0.013 | $5.39 |
| 07-08 14:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 9? | SELL | 0.007 | $1.40 |
| 07-08 14:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 10? | SELL | 0.016 | $0.30 |