PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

mantequilla2

0x249c14e4a40f6bec73093ab16bd648df3163ca95

Realised P&L
$-56.68
Volume
$3.7k
Markets traded
200
Open portfolio
$8.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded200
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 25? · Yes0.0700.145$2.07+$1.07
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 25? · Yes0.1900.335$1.76+$0.76
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0510.053$1.57+$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 25? · Yes0.0900.100$1.11+$0.11
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 25? · Yes0.1100.115$1.05+$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 25? · Yes0.0800.030$0.38−$0.63
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on September 25? · Yes0.0700.015$0.21−$0.79
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on September 25? · Yes0.0040.001$0.10−$0.80
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 25? · Yes0.0800.002$0.02−$0.98
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 25? · Yes0.3900.001$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 18? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$1.90
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 19? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$1.15
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 20? · Yes0.2950.000$0.00−$0.61
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 25? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$0.55
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on May 28? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$0.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 23:36Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 25?BUY0.08$1.00
09-24 23:35Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 25?BUY0.0899999928$1.00
09-24 23:35Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 25?BUY0.08$1.00
09-24 23:35Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on September 25?BUY0.0699999965$1.00
09-24 23:34Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 25?BUY0.1899999962$1.00
09-24 23:33Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 25?BUY0.109999989$1.00
09-24 23:33Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 25?BUY0.0699999965$1.00
09-24 23:30Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 25?BUY0.3899999337$1.00
09-24 21:04Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0509999995$1.50
09-24 12:29Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on September 25?BUY0.004$0.40
09-24 12:22Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on September 24?BUY0.001$0.53
09-24 12:21Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on September 25?BUY0.005$0.50
06-12 12:50Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 13?SELL0.07$0.70
06-12 12:50Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 13?SELL0.07$0.41
06-12 06:59Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 12?SELL0.05$0.29