frostbyte2110
0x249362d30f7c49f1a3f0a238271f79b01aeb5194
- Realised P&L
- $-9.35
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $14.60
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.962 | 0.981 | $6.09 | +$0.11 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.790 | 0.959 | $6.07 | +$1.07 |
| Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.185 | $2.43 | −$2.57 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.53at 0.710Hornets vs. Lakers
- +$1.05at 0.770Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?
- +$0.59at 0.076Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
- +$-0.23at 0.130Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- +$-2.00at 0.130Heat vs. Warriors
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 21:10 | Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori? | BUY | 0.3799999742 | $5.00 |
| 05-10 21:04 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.0890783333 | $5.34 |
| 04-21 00:32 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.9619999968 | $5.98 |
| 04-21 00:29 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.7899999242 | $5.00 |
| 02-03 05:14 | 76ers vs. Clippers | BUY | 0.025 | $2.77 |
| 02-03 05:13 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $2.77 |
| 01-31 00:10 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.076 | $4.56 |
| 01-20 05:25 | Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24? | BUY | 0.7699999934 | $3.51 |
| 01-20 05:22 | UFC 325: Mullarkey vs. Salkilld (Lightweight, Prelims) | SELL | 0.2369723533 | $3.51 |
| 01-20 05:18 | UFC 325: Mullarkey vs. Salkilld (Lightweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.4530336812 | $6.72 |
| 01-20 04:46 | Heat vs. Warriors | BUY | 0.1299999467 | $2.00 |
| 01-16 05:16 | Hornets vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.709999922 | $6.19 |
| 01-12 08:06 | New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? | SELL | 0.015 | $6.19 |
| 01-09 02:26 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999627 | $3.00 |
| 01-09 02:23 | New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? | BUY | 0.025 | $10.31 |