46adasd
0x248fc77c8eb53f78b28cb5dd59dfb4275ad7187c
- Realised P&L
- $-75.60
- Volume
- $24.2k
- Markets traded
- 269
- Open portfolio
- $173.35
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded269
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.49at 0.542Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-05-22?
- +$3.75at 0.441Will Oregon Ducks win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
- +$2.02at 0.012Will Hugo Lloris win 2026 MLS Goalkeeper of the Year?
- +$1.05at 0.090Will world GDP growth be 3.2% in 2026?
- +$0.87at 0.003Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 1.9%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-16 16:44 | Will Petar Musa win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? | SELL | 0.125 | $1.10 |
| 08-15 04:54 | Will George Pickens play for Kansas City Chiefs in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.04 |
| 08-15 04:51 | Will George Pickens play for Kansas City Chiefs in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.04 |
| 08-14 14:23 | Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.05 |
| 08-13 21:56 | Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.06 |
| 08-12 20:58 | Will George Pickens play for Kansas City Chiefs in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.04 |
| 08-12 20:55 | Will George Pickens play for Kansas City Chiefs in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.04 |
| 08-12 12:01 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-18 House seat? | SELL | 0.088 | $1.03 |
| 08-12 08:15 | Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2026 Action of the Year? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.12 |
| 08-12 08:11 | Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2026 Action of the Year? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.13 |
| 08-12 08:03 | Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2026 Action of the Year? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.15 |
| 08-12 08:00 | Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2026 Action of the Year? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.16 |
| 08-12 06:34 | Will the Labour Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.07 |
| 08-12 06:19 | Will Valtteri Bottas win the 2026 Action of the Year? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.03 |
| 08-12 01:01 | Will Pat Murphy win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.86 |