0x248d735647981dee1db164b164d2b42432fc1084
0x248d735647981dee1db164b164d2b42432fc1084
- Realised P&L
- $-376.40
- Volume
- $18.2k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $33.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$61.39at 0.472Rockets vs. Thunder
- +$60.00at 0.400Cavaliers vs. Thunder
- +$55.54at 0.667Spurs vs. Timberwolves
- +$54.72at 0.327Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$45.57at 0.256Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 02:27 | Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be $2.50T or more? | BUY | 0.0412077904 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 02:27 | Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.50T? | BUY | 0.1235501913 | $12.00 |
| 09-25 11:10 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3399999989 | $25.00 |
| 07-04 18:34 | Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.0039929989 | $6.00 |
| 07-04 18:33 | Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.006 | $5.00 |
| 07-02 06:43 | Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.0114438497 | $5.00 |
| 07-02 06:43 | Will LeBron James play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.00 |
| 06-29 05:04 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.429999998 | $55.00 |
| 06-26 10:36 | Will France win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.5999999982 | $65.00 |
| 06-20 17:53 | Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? | BUY | 0.0420000002 | $10.00 |
| 06-20 17:51 | Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? | BUY | 0.02 | $6.04 |
| 06-20 17:51 | Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw? | BUY | 0.0699999939 | $10.00 |
| 06-20 17:47 | Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 | SELL | 0.1689143251 | $71.06 |
| 05-23 00:49 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.4002145582 | $50.00 |
| 05-22 01:40 | Cavaliers vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |