PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x248d735647981dee1db164b164d2b42432fc1084

0x248d735647981dee1db164b164d2b42432fc1084

Realised P&L
$-376.40
Volume
$18.2k
Markets traded
51
Open portfolio
$33.61

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded51
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)37.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration97.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.3400.445$32.72+$7.72
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.50T? · Yes0.1230.006$0.58−$11.42
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be $2.50T or more? · Yes0.0410.003$0.30−$4.70
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00−$50.00
Knicks vs. 76ers · 76ers0.5300.000$0.00−$55.00
Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$6.00
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00−$10.00
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00−$5.00
Will LeBron James play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$6.04
Cavaliers vs. Knicks · Cavaliers0.2360.000$0.00−$81.00
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Suns vs. Thunder · Suns0.0400.000$0.00−$12.00
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00−$55.00
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$12.00
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 02:27Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be $2.50T or more?BUY0.0412077904$5.00
09-29 02:27Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.50T?BUY0.1235501913$12.00
09-25 11:10Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.3399999989$25.00
07-04 18:34Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?BUY0.0039929989$6.00
07-04 18:33Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?BUY0.006$5.00
07-02 06:43Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?BUY0.0114438497$5.00
07-02 06:43Will LeBron James play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27?BUY0.002$5.00
06-29 05:04Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.429999998$55.00
06-26 10:36Will France win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.5999999982$65.00
06-20 17:53Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?BUY0.0420000002$10.00
06-20 17:51Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?BUY0.02$6.04
06-20 17:51Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?BUY0.0699999939$10.00
06-20 17:47Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026SELL0.1689143251$71.06
05-23 00:49Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.4002145582$50.00
05-22 01:40Cavaliers vs. KnicksBUY0.1$10.00