PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

456ggh

0x2486c90c8a613c4cdf8508413c5c014b67a73f73

Realised P&L
$-259.30
Volume
$11.7k
Markets traded
62
Open portfolio
$18.35

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded62
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Waddani Party (Somaliland National Party) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election? · Yes0.1400.037$18.35−$51.08
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of January 12 above $540? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00−$10.66
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Oklahoma Sooners (W) · Texas A&M Aggies0.0460.000$0.00−$7.29
Will Come See Me in the Good Light win Best Documentary at the 41st Film Independent Spirit Awards? · Yes0.0780.000$0.00−$18.81
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on February 12? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00−$6.90
Brooksby vs. Tiafoe: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 · Under0.2300.000$0.00−$67.21
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on January 26? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$8.60
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00−$5.18
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on February 17? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00−$2.31
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on January 29? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$5.89
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on February 21? · Yes0.1040.000$0.00−$15.95
Will Max Greyserman win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00−$4.74
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on February 20? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00−$5.16
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 February 2-8? · No0.7040.000$0.00−$186.70
Will Billy Horschel win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00−$9.78

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-28 07:21Latvia vs. Gibraltar: O/U 4.5BUY0.17$146.04
03-27 22:52Will the Waddani Party (Somaliland National Party) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election?BUY0.14$69.43
03-12 10:08Will Kristiansund BK vs. SK Brann end in a draw?BUY0.24$65.04
03-06 10:18Brooksby vs. Tiafoe: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5BUY0.23$67.21
02-22 00:25Spread: CF Montréal (-2.5)BUY0.018$3.39
02-18 17:49Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on February 21?BUY0.104$15.95
02-18 08:20Will "28 Years Later" win Best Editing at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?BUY0.01$2.15
02-18 07:58Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on February 19?BUY0.029$3.82
02-17 15:41Will the price of Solana be above $100 on February 20?BUY0.034$5.16
02-17 08:07Will the price of XRP be less than $1.00 on February 20?BUY0.011$3.12
02-16 15:18Will Holly McCormack win the GA-14 special election?BUY0.026$3.62
02-16 14:15Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on February 17?BUY0.014$2.31
02-14 08:31Will the price of Solana be above $110 on February 15?BUY0.011$1.32
02-14 07:58Will Come See Me in the Good Light win Best Documentary at the 41st Film Independent Spirit Awards?BUY0.078$18.81
02-14 07:30Spread: Levante UD (-2.5)BUY0.058$6.95