great-cuttle-ketchup
0x247deeb0cfe0af93018beb4cb9156cf76b65c55a
- Realised P&L
- $-2.7k
- Volume
- $21.9k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $3.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · Yes | 0.238 | 0.125 | $1.9k | −$1.7k |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes | 0.484 | 0.255 | $1.1k | −$949.48 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · Yes | 0.239 | 0.235 | $245.22 | −$4.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$169.30at 0.427Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 17?
- +$28.17at 0.900U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1?
- +$25.80at 0.590Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
- +$15.37at 0.470Will Powell say "Dissent" during October press conference?
- +$14.28at 0.490Will Powell say "Feedback" during October press conference?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 01:33 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BUY | 0.08 | $0.40 |
| 09-15 22:40 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | BUY | 0.24 | $240.00 |
| 09-15 06:45 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BUY | 0.13 | $26.00 |
| 09-15 02:39 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BUY | 0.14 | $12.22 |
| 07-17 17:57 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 17? | BUY | 0.5626694391 | $100.00 |
| 07-17 17:56 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 17? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.76 |
| 11-14 14:51 | Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025? | BUY | 0.5 | $143.85 |
| 11-13 19:47 | Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025? | BUY | 0.43 | $50.74 |
| 11-13 19:46 | Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025? | BUY | 0.42 | $86.80 |
| 11-13 19:42 | Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025? | BUY | 0.41 | $10.25 |
| 10-24 20:07 | Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during October press conference? | BUY | 0.62 | $13.64 |
| 10-24 20:07 | Will Powell say "Recession" during October press conference? | BUY | 0.41 | $8.20 |
| 10-24 20:06 | Will Powell say "Trump" during October press conference? | BUY | 0.16 | $0.13 |
| 10-24 20:06 | Will Powell say "Update" during October press conference? | BUY | 0.64 | $10.24 |
| 10-24 20:05 | Will Powell say "Pandemic" during October press conference? | BUY | 0.74 | $13.32 |