HradyzK
0x2474bd39bcc923da610427e98e417ac00b854957
- Realised P&L
- $46.15
- Volume
- $15.0k
- Markets traded
- 718
- Open portfolio
- $9.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded718
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.028 | $3.44 | −$6.56 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.009 | $2.83 | −$7.17 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.004 | $1.78 | −$8.22 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? · Yes | 0.067 | 0.011 | $1.57 | −$8.43 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.71at 0.110Celtics vs. Raptors
- +$24.31at 0.190Commanders vs. Lions
- +$16.58at 0.153Will West Ham win on 2024-11-25?
- +$14.80at 0.630Flyers vs. Sharks
- +$14.00at 0.650Celtics vs. Timberwolves
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 21:04 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 05-09 21:02 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027? | BUY | 0.0197107125 | $10.00 |
| 05-09 21:01 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? | BUY | 0.0670703983 | $10.00 |
| 05-09 21:00 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? | BUY | 0.0299911118 | $10.00 |
| 01-19 21:41 | Red Wings vs. Stars | BUY | 0.68 | $20.40 |
| 01-19 21:40 | Wizards vs. Kings | BUY | 0.0899837756 | $2.70 |
| 01-19 21:40 | Lakers vs. Clippers | BUY | 0.6299751876 | $18.90 |
| 01-19 21:40 | Bulls vs. Trail Blazers | BUY | 0.6908468062 | $20.72 |
| 01-19 21:40 | 76ers vs. Bucks | BUY | 0.1399742581 | $4.20 |
| 01-19 21:40 | Nets vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.1099909694 | $3.30 |
| 01-19 21:40 | Nuggets vs. Magic | BUY | 0.7399909954 | $22.20 |
| 01-18 22:09 | Red Wings vs. Lightning | BUY | 0.6573432916 | $19.72 |
| 01-18 22:08 | Blue Jackets vs. Rangers | BUY | 0.6560695756 | $19.68 |
| 01-18 22:08 | Flames vs. Jets | BUY | 0.62 | $18.60 |
| 01-18 22:07 | Suns vs. Pistons | BUY | 0.7 | $21.00 |