MrCael
0x246c58cdadada508661413b62f4ff91b49b5b1a9
- Realised P&L
- $-8.62
- Volume
- $194.21
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $15.14
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.725 | $15.14 | +$0.52 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET · Down | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-7.55at 0.361Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 09:12 | Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31? | BUY | 0.7 | $14.62 |
| 10-01 08:59 | Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31? | SELL | 0.25 | $15.00 |
| 09-30 10:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 07:01 | Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31? | BUY | 0.35 | $21.00 |
| 09-26 19:58 | Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31? | SELL | 0.28 | $2.80 |
| 09-26 13:26 | Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31? | BUY | 0.29 | $2.90 |