PolyBot

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Traders

citra

0x246b6f2cf1eb3c74ab82b5d7288ef49baeed1196

Realised P&L
$34.9k
Volume
$777.1k
Markets traded
229
Open portfolio
$15.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded229
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.5680.433$8.8k−$2.7k
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8700.966$4.8k+$480.00
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? · Yes0.5890.115$1.5k−$6.1k
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No0.7300.000$0.00−$2.2k
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21? · Yes0.3230.000$0.00−$1.3k
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · Yes0.5390.000$0.00−$17.3k
Chirayu Rana sued? · No0.1720.000$0.00−$913.36
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8? · No0.3400.000$0.00−$3.0k
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · Yes0.4260.000$0.00−$12.1k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 04:58Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.519$519.00
10-09 01:30Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.579$131.43
10-09 00:40Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.578$11.56
10-08 23:46Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.58$1.7k
10-08 23:43Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.58$1.7k
10-08 23:42Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.58$1.2k
10-08 23:38Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.5799182933$1.7k
10-08 23:37Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.579$1.2k
10-08 23:37Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.578974526$2.9k
08-15 15:38UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.77$1.5k
08-04 22:53Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?BUY0.54$74.29
08-04 22:52Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?BUY0.54$36.59
08-04 22:52Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?BUY0.54$25.35
08-04 22:41Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?BUY0.52$1.6k
08-04 22:11Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?BUY0.51$16.10