PolyBot

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Traders

citra

0x246b6f2cf1eb3c74ab82b5d7288ef49baeed1196

Realised P&L
$18.8k
Volume
$760.8k
Markets traded
229
Open portfolio
$13.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded229
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · Yes0.5390.150$4.8k$12.5k
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8700.925$4.6k+$275.00
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? · Yes0.5890.275$3.5k$4.0k
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No0.7200.966$220.69+$56.12
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No0.7300.000$0.00$2.2k
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21? · Yes0.3230.000$0.00$1.3k
Chirayu Rana sued? · No0.1720.000$0.00$913.36
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8? · No0.3400.000$0.00$3.0k
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · Yes0.4260.000$0.00$12.1k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-15 15:38UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.77$1.5k
08-04 22:53Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?BUY0.54$74.29
08-04 22:52Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?BUY0.54$36.59
08-04 22:52Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?BUY0.54$25.35
08-04 22:41Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?BUY0.52$1.6k
08-04 22:11Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?BUY0.51$16.10
08-04 22:10Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?BUY0.51$779.01
08-04 22:08Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?BUY0.52$32.28
08-04 22:07Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?BUY0.5$337.69
07-29 08:43Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?BUY0.56$1.9k
07-17 00:01Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.99$0.16
07-11 01:20Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?SELL0.87$41.89
07-05 01:54Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?BUY0.48$240.00
07-04 22:38Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?BUY0.54$35.89
06-25 20:14Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.47$2.9k