diamond777
0x245cf59e6ba1e9c2db05f8ad40d44494966175e7
- Realised P&L
- $702.89
- Volume
- $237.7k
- Markets traded
- 242
- Open portfolio
- $369.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded242
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$552.72at 0.530Watford FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Both Teams to Score
- +$394.78at 0.160Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
- +$276.38at 0.610Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?
- +$271.48at 0.560Will the Chicago Bears be eliminated in the Divisional Round?
- +$252.24at 0.760Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-11 16:51 | Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.79 | $656.49 |
| 04-11 07:45 | Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $175.74 |
| 04-11 07:43 | Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $614.22 |
| 04-11 05:48 | Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.77 | $15.40 |
| 04-10 23:29 | Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $638.25 |
| 04-10 17:26 | Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $830.82 |
| 04-09 23:11 | Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%? | SELL | 0.851 | $659.52 |
| 04-09 22:24 | U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? | SELL | 0.8 | $144.80 |
| 04-09 12:17 | Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m? | SELL | 0.82 | $715.04 |
| 04-08 12:44 | U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? | BUY | 0.75 | $135.75 |
| 04-07 16:44 | Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%? | BUY | 0.818 | $633.95 |
| 04-07 14:49 | Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m? | BUY | 0.84 | $732.48 |
| 03-31 02:45 | Will Iran strike Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery by April 30? | SELL | 0.58 | $399.62 |
| 03-31 01:57 | Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.5 | $164.00 |
| 03-30 17:07 | Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.48 | $139.68 |