PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

vaughnjordan

0x245baf9f6db15baf94b3e2dc403602aee9d63883

Realised P&L
$-51.27
Volume
$12.1k
Markets traded
77
Open portfolio
$58.52

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded77
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration61.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration84.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in September? · No0.6500.765$49.54+$7.45
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? · Yes0.7750.885$8.98+$1.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 08:33Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?BUY0.7749999926$7.86
01-31 13:32Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in January?BUY0.9989997755$4.08
01-30 16:12Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.999$6.44
01-30 15:22Will Opendoor dip to $2.50 in January?BUY0.999$10.67
01-30 12:20Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?BUY0.999$13.55
01-30 12:09Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in January?BUY0.999$26.26
12-30 10:43Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?BUY0.998$8.67
12-30 02:13Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025?BUY0.9979999788$9.68
12-30 01:15Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in 2025?BUY0.999$12.84
12-30 00:04Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?BUY0.998$13.45
12-29 21:52Xi Jinping out in 2025?BUY0.996999981$16.14
10-31 00:19Will Alibaba have the best AI model on October 31?BUY0.999$18.80
10-30 23:44Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?BUY0.99$10.56
10-30 20:46Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?BUY0.998$18.11
09-29 09:46Will Solana reach $270 in September?BUY0.999$10.82