vaughnjordan
0x245baf9f6db15baf94b3e2dc403602aee9d63883
- Realised P&L
- $-51.27
- Volume
- $12.1k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $58.52
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in September? · No | 0.650 | 0.765 | $49.54 | +$7.45 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? · Yes | 0.775 | 0.885 | $8.98 | +$1.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.53at 0.999XRP all time high in April?
- +$0.47at 0.975Will Bitcoin reach $110k in April?
- +$0.17at 0.990Will the Liberals win the most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election?
- +$0.12at 0.991Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao by September 30?
- +$0.12at 0.986Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 08:33 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? | BUY | 0.7749999926 | $7.86 |
| 01-31 13:32 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in January? | BUY | 0.9989997755 | $4.08 |
| 01-30 16:12 | Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.44 |
| 01-30 15:22 | Will Opendoor dip to $2.50 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.67 |
| 01-30 12:20 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.55 |
| 01-30 12:09 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $26.26 |
| 12-30 10:43 | Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $8.67 |
| 12-30 02:13 | Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999788 | $9.68 |
| 12-30 01:15 | Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.84 |
| 12-30 00:04 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.45 |
| 12-29 21:52 | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | BUY | 0.996999981 | $16.14 |
| 10-31 00:19 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.80 |
| 10-30 23:44 | Will Google have the top AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $10.56 |
| 10-30 20:46 | Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October? | BUY | 0.998 | $18.11 |
| 09-29 09:46 | Will Solana reach $270 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.82 |