0x2457513265243196f16c9df902f332e84478898e
- Realised P&L
- $-26.47
- Volume
- $216.76
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $61.49
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.816 | 0.625 | $61.49 | −$18.79 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.99at 0.618Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
- +$-20.56at 0.236Will Maja Chwalińska win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-10 17:34 | Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.8134004006 | $49.30 |
| 06-10 09:37 | Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.8199999984 | $30.98 |
| 06-05 10:45 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? | BUY | 0.6079999883 | $19.10 |
| 06-05 10:44 | Will Maja Chwalińska win the 2026 Women’s French Open? | BUY | 0.2299999931 | $20.00 |