adriaantjeandbassie
0x2457144a60be4e746380b558c6697bc82a00a76d
- Realised P&L
- $68.41
- Volume
- $55.0k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $348.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by September 30? · No | 0.979 | 0.990 | $206.75 | +$2.20 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No | 0.940 | 0.945 | $141.75 | +$0.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.750Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 20?
- +$1.0kat 0.957Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 19?
- +$662.71at 0.901Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 27?
- +$500.86at 0.750Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 19?
- +$135.72at 0.911Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 08:19 | Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by September 30? | BUY | 0.9784366197 | $69.47 |
| 09-04 08:12 | China x Japan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.94 | $141.00 |
| 08-13 08:33 | Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in August 2026? | BUY | 0.9966581176 | $84.72 |
| 08-13 08:33 | Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $109.56 |
| 08-13 08:32 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in August 2026? | BUY | 0.9986666667 | $149.80 |
| 07-01 07:57 | Trump out as President by July 31? | BUY | 0.989 | $337.55 |
| 06-02 09:09 | Trump out as President by June 30? | BUY | 0.988 | $113.62 |
| 05-24 20:54 | Trump out as President by May 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $114.77 |
| 05-24 20:54 | Xi Jinping out by June 30? | BUY | 0.991 | $74.33 |
| 05-24 20:53 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | BUY | 0.986 | $147.90 |
| 04-26 18:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.3k |
| 04-26 18:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 04-25 20:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April? | BUY | 0.9990000009 | $10.00 |
| 04-24 19:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 04-22 08:11 | USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.4k |